Current Case
Judgment in the present
Make a first call on a sourced international-affairs case. Then test the call against competing readings and one changed assumption.
Responses and in-progress drafts stay in this browser. Each record shows its evidence window, sources, and correction status.
Security
Evidence through July 17, 2026Europe’s integrated anti-ballistic-missile coalition for Ukraine
Ten European states and Ukraine are testing whether urgent wartime demand can become a credible European missile-defence architecture.
Current case
Open case →Economic statecraft
Evidence through July 17, 2026U.S. Section 301 tariffs on Brazil and Brazil’s calibrated retaliation debate
A selective U.S. tariff package forces Brazil to choose between retaliation, domestic cushioning, negotiation, and a wider rules-based response.
Archive case
Open case →Institutions and governance
Evidence through July 17, 2026The South China Sea arbitral award at ten: legal reaffirmation versus Chinese rejection
Ten years after the award, states must judge whether legal reaffirmation still shapes order when enforcement is indirect and China rejects the ruling.
Archive case
Open case →