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Decision exercises →
Choose who gets inspection rights or access to a capable model, then reconsider one changed provision. These fictional exercises work without a questionnaire and are available in English.
From present choices to future trajectories →
Follow how access, verification and institutional capacity could shape AI governance. Futures offers conditional scenarios, not forecasts or outcomes inferred from your answers.
Security
Evidence through July 17, 2026Europe’s integrated anti-ballistic-missile coalition for Ukraine
Ten European states and Ukraine are testing whether urgent wartime demand can become a credible European missile-defence architecture.
Review due
Open case →Economic statecraft
Evidence through July 17, 2026U.S. Section 301 tariffs on Brazil and Brazil’s calibrated retaliation debate
A selective U.S. tariff package forces Brazil to choose between retaliation, domestic cushioning, negotiation, and a wider rules-based response.
Review due
Open case →Institutions and governance
Evidence through July 17, 2026The South China Sea arbitral award at ten: legal reaffirmation versus Chinese rejection
Ten years after the award, states must judge whether legal reaffirmation still shapes order when enforcement is indirect and China rejects the ruling.
Background
Open case →